"An independent economist calculated that the value of the euro would have to be $0.31 to balance Greeces international position, and the number for Spain was $0.34, while Germany could effectively compete in the international marketplace with a euro over $1.80. Despite the ECB pegging the refinancing rate at 1.00%, two-year benchmark government rates for Germany are way below that at 0.48%, but way above it at 7.91% for Greece, Ireland 3.37%, and 3.20% for Spain. Ireland has been living with annual deflation for the last 16 months, while German lawmakers are worried about inflation. These differences have become more dramatic in the past few months and most independent observers forecast that trend to continue. By any economists measure this is not an optimal currency zone. But the economists are not in charge, the politicians are, and these politicians have spent their entire careers following their conception of the European currency. Their reputations and the European myth depend on the survival of the euro, and those who doubt its viability are enemies who deserve to be ground into dust. There is one overarching problem that the defenders of the euro cannot overcome: in its current form, the euros survival is economically impossible. Prior to the Greek crisis, the market did not understand this, but now it does. And you cannot put the genie back in the bottle."
"If part of the euro is worth $1.80 and another part is worth $0.31, how do you value this currency today, while its still in one piece? That is the crux of the matter. The uncertainty around this issue is what has caused billions of euros to flee into the security of the Swiss franc. The Swiss authorities have intervened, buying so many euros that their reserves expanded by 45% of their GDP since the start of this year. Despite that massive intervention, the Swiss franc has climbed by 10% against the euro since mid-December. There is no sign of change. As the politicians are completely in control, the schizophrenic euro could go on for years with the economic dislocations becoming more and more intense. Little explosions are likely. Certainly, the Swiss are in a terrible position (see Switzerland Surrounded Again, April 29, 2010) as the euros will keep flowing in. The Swiss franc might gain another 10%, destroying its export base, but the Swiss could change the rules to protect themselves. Although the European political elites are totally committed to the euro, the man on the street is different. The European political peace is a compromise between entrenched elites and the highly entitled masses first formulated by Bismarck over 120 years ago. The withdrawal of those entitlements in order to save the euro could easily upset this historic deal. If those in power continue to ignore the needs of the people, neither the euro nor the current political structure will survive in its current form."
And the government is thinking of appointing former CEO of BP, Lord Browne, as a sort of "super director" to advise on business. He was not exactly an uncontroversial figure, even before BP's recent problems. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2f02e9f4-71a2-11df-8eec-00144feabdc0.html
Talking about the US Treasury being out of silver, a recentish ZH article was questioning whether the IMF itself was actually solvent, and some of the comments questioned whether they actually had any of their own gold, for example. If the credibility of the IMF were ever to be seriously questioned, wouldn't that mean that we were all essentially screwed, if we are not already? http://www.zerohedge.com/article/got-gold-head-imf-policy-steering-committee-says-fund-needs-320-billion-be-properly-resource
Try publishing this in the UK weekend papers: Traders bet BankofEngland will raise rates to 6.25% --highest since 1… https://t.co/GWXrTEAk4R(10 months ago)
Poor start to a slow market day as Ezone PMIs disappoint. Im still keeping an eye on the rare (-2%) USD-GOLD combo,… https://t.co/UyRzWsRbs7(10 months ago)
-5% YTD is not good, while -7% from the year highs can be tough. Gold traders have their eyes fixated on this for n… https://t.co/NV5UMKsfNo(10 months ago)
ما وراء هبوط الدولار مع الذهب و من منهما يتمكن الارتداد؟
موعدنا الآن في غرفة شركة إكس أم لجلسة الأسواق
https://t.co/Y7tD0RxCS2
@XM_COM (10 months ago)
Jobless claims > 300k before next FOMC meeting would be ideal for Fed to make up for any CPI upside surprise (10 months ago)
"Cook & Eat at Home" scheme may come next to defeat UK inflation... (10 months ago)
Earlier in the week gold selloff was attributed to smaller than exp China EASING. Metal is now holding v well despi… https://t.co/ZW9cmXTPWW(10 months ago)
تجنب الخطأ الشائع المتمثل في خلط مؤشرات الناسداك وداوجونز و الاس ان بي وإليكم كيفية تفاعله بشكل مختلف مع تذبذبات في عوائد السندات ليست كل مؤشرات الأسهم متشابهة. شاهد الفيديو
How to improve your decision--makingh between Nasdaq100 and SPX by watching technicals in bond yields -Details in video description.
Latest Hot-Chart - Apr 09
Bitcoin versus Miners Performance
As many of you know 2023 was kind to members of our WhatsApp Broadcast Group who snapped up shares in bitcoin miners, while 2024 has so far been more superior to Bitcoin than most of the miners...
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"An independent economist calculated that the value of the euro would have to be $0.31 to balance Greeces international position, and the number for Spain was $0.34, while Germany could effectively compete in the international marketplace with a euro over $1.80. Despite the ECB pegging the refinancing rate at 1.00%, two-year benchmark government rates for Germany are way below that at 0.48%, but way above it at 7.91% for Greece, Ireland 3.37%, and 3.20% for Spain. Ireland has been living with annual deflation for the last 16 months, while German lawmakers are worried about inflation. These differences have become more dramatic in the past few months and most independent observers forecast that trend to continue. By any economists measure this is not an optimal currency zone. But the economists are not in charge, the politicians are, and these politicians have spent their entire careers following their conception of the European currency. Their reputations and the European myth depend on the survival of the euro, and those who doubt its viability are enemies who deserve to be ground into dust. There is one overarching problem that the defenders of the euro cannot overcome: in its current form, the euros survival is economically impossible. Prior to the Greek crisis, the market did not understand this, but now it does. And you cannot put the genie back in the bottle."
"If part of the euro is worth $1.80 and another part is worth $0.31, how do you value this currency today, while its still in one piece? That is the crux of the matter. The uncertainty around this issue is what has caused billions of euros to flee into the security of the Swiss franc. The Swiss authorities have intervened, buying so many euros that their reserves expanded by 45% of their GDP since the start of this year. Despite that massive intervention, the Swiss franc has climbed by 10% against the euro since mid-December. There is no sign of change. As the politicians are completely in control, the schizophrenic euro could go on for years with the economic dislocations becoming more and more intense. Little explosions are likely. Certainly, the Swiss are in a terrible position (see Switzerland Surrounded Again, April 29, 2010) as the euros will keep flowing in. The Swiss franc might gain another 10%, destroying its export base, but the Swiss could change the rules to protect themselves. Although the European political elites are totally committed to the euro, the man on the street is different. The European political peace is a compromise between entrenched elites and the highly entitled masses first formulated by Bismarck over 120 years ago. The withdrawal of those entitlements in order to save the euro could easily upset this historic deal. If those in power continue to ignore the needs of the people, neither the euro nor the current political structure will survive in its current form."
http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/thereporters/robertpeston/2010/06/no_more_money.html
(The BBC3 programme he refers to has gone out, but can be caught for those in the UK on iPlayer).
http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/thereporters/stephanieflanders/2010/06/bad_news_is_good_news.html
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/marc-fabers-must-watch-2010-presentation
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2f02e9f4-71a2-11df-8eec-00144feabdc0.html
I know this is the Discount rate, and not the Funds rate, but nonetheless...
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/got-gold-head-imf-policy-steering-committee-says-fund-needs-320-billion-be-properly-resource
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/pboc-replaces-snb-fx-manipulation-department
According to this:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/10150007.stm
Germany's debt as a percentage of GDP is actually greater than that of the UK or Ireland, for example.
"One of the main causes of the currency crisis in the eurozone is that virtually all countries involved have breached their own self-imposed rules. "