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Posts by "montmorency"

678 Posts Total by "montmorency":
604 Posts by member
montmorency
(Abingdon, United Kingdom)
74 Posts by Anonymous "montmorency":
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 19, 2010 22:21
USDX: On 1H at the moment and Daily chart, this is looking somewhat bearish to me, price-action-wise.
May just be indicating a pullback though, rather than a reversal.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 19, 2010 21:33
@Said: - Direction?
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 19, 2010 17:22
@PippedOff: "The analyst wrote "Gbp to move higher because it is the only pair not trading in a range".

Hm....on a weekly chart, that's exactly what it IS trading in. Mind you, on that basis, it could go to about 1.69, so this still wouldn't be good news for dollar bulls.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 19, 2010 14:42
@Jamshed: Interesting analysis, thanks. The old problem of technicals versus fundamentals. Which does one give more credence to?

Well today's dollar rally seems to be faltering, and cable's plummet has been arrested for the moment.
Whether it will regain the dizzy heights of ɭ.64 in the near future remains to be seen.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 19, 2010 12:04
Cable falling nicely. Is this the big one?
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 19, 2010 11:30
"UK 'to grow faster' than other major economies"
- Just to add to the conspiracy theory, I wonder if they have contributed to Gordon Brown's re-election campaign?

Anyway, the UK Inflation report took out my EUR/GBP longs :-( Not one of my better trades. (But then, none of them is ...).
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 19, 2010 0:29
@rkkashmir: Good posting.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 18, 2010 17:41
@PippedOff: "Please raise your hand if you were duped by the Cable Cartel to buy cable at 1.6381 today."

- If you really believe that, you should be thanking them for yet another shorting opportunity.

- Analysts can call for what they like; the market decides.

- In what way is Gold getting spanked?

- What is the ultimate goal of the "Cable Cartel" (as well as World Domination of course...)?
Speculators can make money in both directions; why would they want to stop movement?

"The Cable Cartel's defense of 1.6300 for cable and subsequent 20 pip pimping of cable is clearly depicted in 5 min cable chart."
-Alternative explanation: "Support at 1.63 held today. It might not tomorrow, and then again, it might, and 1.64 might be achieved. Depends on the market."

OR "Cable continued its long uptrend which began in late December (or early January depending which way you look at it), after the relatively brief retracement on Friday...".

(I hope the latter isn't actually the case, but it's as plausible as a "Cable Cartel").
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 18, 2010 17:24
@PippedOff: "What happened to that usdx rally on Friday?"

Maybe it was never going anywhere.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 18, 2010 12:36
@Xaron I _hope_ you are wrong. I _fear_ you may be right :-)

My long EUR/GBP is not looking so clever at the moment...I think it could continue on down to 0.8720-0.8750 territory, maybe 0.8700. Surely not lower, in the short to medium term? hm....