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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 903
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 903
Forum Topic:
CHF
Discuss CHF
reported large bid at Chf1.4005, saying it is linked to protection
of the barrier at Chf1.4000. Additional talk suggests there is at least
a 'yard' (E1bln) of stops from Chf1.4000 down to Chf1.3980. Asian
traders earlier had suggested that sovereign demand would appear below
Chf1.4000.
Ashraf
Hildebrand noted the SNB will not allow such a development to turn into a new deflation hazard and is acting decisively to prevent an excessive appreciation. Hildebrand also called on European leaders to conclude negotiations over Greeces aid package rapidly. April consumer price inflation data will be released on Thursday. U.S. dollar offers are cited around the CHF 1.0930 level. The euro moved lower vis--vis the Swiss franc as the single currency tested bids around the CHF 1.4320 level while the British pound appreciated vis--vis the Swiss franc and tested offers around the CHF 1.6595 level.
EES had a favorite group of pairs EUR/USD, EUR/CHF, USD/CHF. The Swiss Franc used to mean something it meant finance, the old guard. The CHF was backed 40% by physical gold. Now, the SNB will not allow the CHF to appreciate because it would have a negative impact as its safe haven currency status. Whether thats true or not, we have decided to stop trading the CHF. With the volatility in the EUR and USD due to the Greek crisis, the uselessness of trading the CHF is highlighted even more. Trading multiple pairs can have the advantage in a volatile market of hedging in and out of positions by trading more than 1 pair that share the same currency. However, because the EUR/CHF did not move by more than 10 pips in the last 20 hours, including EUR/CHF in any strategy is useless.
There is a trade here, when the EUR/CHF is revalued the move takes time and traders can jump on the trend and ride the movement. A trend following system could be loaded to capture this trend when it happens. Or you could simply look at the chart and see it breaking out of its controlled trading bands.
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I'm waiting some pressure on USd before NFp, so I prefere buy at 1.0940 area.
and what about usdChf???
Im long from 1,1120...hope to see it rising soon...
at 1.40 we can hope BNS reaction, so it's a good level to enter long short term eurchf