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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Mar 30, 2010 17:14
Comments: 41
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This thread was started in response to the Article:

Signals from Commodities & LIBOR

Yield differentials, LIBOR developments and the failure in the CRB and Crude Oil continue to boost USD
 
chloethebull
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 18, 2011 18:39
not sure whats goin on but i had alarm on potash(pot) an it just went off..look @ cad breakn out but eur is pushing higher as well..wayy to weird today ..anythoughts out there?gl:)
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Feb 18, 2011 18:33
possibility to see a range in euraud with top 1.38604 with EU expansion on policy , robert.
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Feb 18, 2011 16:39
possibilite de voir 118.500 sur Tnotes US.

whats wrong with u guys at the consulate in casa, u look for what with ur yagourt operation?
Mogi das Cruzes
Mogi das Cruzes,
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 14, 2011 19:28
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Santana do Livramento
Santana do Livramento,
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jan 17, 2011 17:05
EM PORTUGUES
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EN ESPANHOL
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Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 10, 2010 13:43
US Apr Trade Bal -$40.3B,Impts -$0.8B,Expts -$1B; Q2 Worsens
NSA Trade Bal with China -$19.3b, Japan -$4.8b, OPEC -$9.3b
By Joseph Plocek
WASHINGTON (MNI) The U.S. April trade data suggest the external
sector could be a drag on growth as trade recovers further.
The April trade balance printed -$40.3 billion, with small offsets
in categories, slightly better than expected. This compared to -$40.0
billion in March after revisions.
April imports fell $0.8 billion, and categories were mixed.
Consumer goods were off $1.7 billion, and this included pharmaceuticals
-$918 million, offset by rising electronics and oil.
Exports fell $1 billion overall and included food at -$647 million
and pharmaceuticals at -$650 million. Exports of oil and supplies
gained, and civilian aircraft posted +$319 million.
April hit the highest deficit since December 2008, and is marked
by a rising non-oil deficit. At -$27.8 billion, the latter is the
highest since January 2009. Thus the data show continued recovery.
The data also reflect rising oil prices. Crude import costs
averaged $77.13 a barrel in April, the highest since October 2008, and
up 3.8% from March.
Unadjusted country balances included China at -$19.3 billion after
-$16.9 billion in March, Japan at -$4.8 billion after -$5.3 billion, and
OPEC at -$9.3 billion (its widest since October 2008) after -$9.1
billion.
The real trade balance was about 4.5% worse than its Q1 average, so
trade should cut into U.S. growth ahead.
Annual revisions for 1999-2009 incorporated late data, made
redistributions and corrections, and recomputed seasonal adjustments.
The full years trade balance now stands at -$374.9 billion in 2009
after -$698.8 billion in 2008.
The Commerce Department said the revisions did not change the
overall trend in trade. Revisions were 1% or less for each years data.
Some military and transportation carrier purchases of fuel, and equipment
exported under the U.S. Foreign Military Sales program, were
reclassified from services to goods, with no overall effect.
**Market News International Washington Bureau: (202)371-2121**
[TOPICS: MAUDS$,MT$$$$,M$U$$$,MAUDR$]
MunaffO
Syria
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jun 10, 2010 12:13
hello ashraf,

sorry for bothering but do you favor the decline to 1150 in gold price or you say there is a leg up in the comming days. thank you
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 2, 2010 17:03
Liquidity is drying up. This is a very bad sign. This will be the catalyst for the next financial crisis and central banks have no more bullets in the guns.
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 2, 2010 17:02
Contagion from Europe's debt crisis has caused Brazil to cancel an auction for its longest-term government bonds. It's the third time this has happened in just a month.

Bloomberg:
The government received no bids it found acceptable for the 150 million reais ($81 million) of 10 percent notes due in 2021 offered yesterday. Theres 6 billion reais of the securities outstanding, less than 20 percent of the 34 billion-real average for the countrys six other fixed-rate notes, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Demand has dried up for less-traded emerging market securities such as these long-term bonds from Brazil...

Foreign investors have disappeared from debt auctions, adding to the Treasurys struggles, said Paribass Donadio and Tony Volpon, Latin America strategist at Nomura Holdings Inc. in New York. International money managers have backed off amid concern Europes debt crisis will spread, said Volpon.

Deputy Treasury Secretary Paulo Valle said volatility in global markets has created a yield premium that Brazil wont sanction. The government doesnt release average yields bid at failed auctions.
...but there's more to it, as the comment above shows. It's another example of bond issuers not believing the ugly yields on offer in the market. Sort of like what is happening in the U.S. as well.

Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
May 10, 2010 14:45
FXT, GOLD/COPPER Ratio hit the highest level since Nov 2009. it may be time for the ratio to pullback down but the big question is how will this fecline occur; a rally in copper and decline in gold or a rally in both but more weighted to copper.

Ashraf