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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8935
Forum Topic:

Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)

Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
 
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
12 years ago
Oct 25, 2012 12:21
Yes the 70.7% ret level coincides with the fractal low you are eyeballing from July. The ABC symmetry completion of C starts at the 100.42 high to completion of A at 87.70 low, then completion of B at 93.66 high on the 10th october. I am not expecting completion of C down in one fell swoop and yes it could truncate at the 84 level but 100% level at 80.90 is higher probability if this pattern is only a corrective from the 100.42 high. I rest my case.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
12 years ago
Oct 25, 2012 11:46
potential downside symmetry at 80.90, not 81.11
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
12 years ago
Oct 25, 2012 11:41
I take that back re the 70.7% level. I have been changing my data vendor in the last few days during which I been looking at the December contract for oil. I now have a continuous futures chart up which is more accurate for historical data. The 70.7% level sits at 84.06, not 85.53 and the 61.8% level was at 86.12, not 87.48. The ressistance at c.88 still valid.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
12 years ago
Oct 25, 2012 11:15
yes c.88 resistance. We should be mindfull that price hit 70.7% level daily chart on tuesday and then retested with a quick false break yesterday so could be looking for long set ups in the shorter term.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
12 years ago
Oct 25, 2012 0:35
CL next downside level to watch at 83.80 below which we have potential symmetry at 81.11. It is looking rather oversold on daily stochastic but O/S a relative term (current 85.80).
GeorgeBensonOldGrey
France
Posted Anonymously
12 years ago
Oct 24, 2012 8:51
added on my demo account long at 87.4 86.54 86.04 for W4
expect W5 at 83/82 for rebound at 91. we shall see how it behaves.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
12 years ago
Oct 24, 2012 1:22
CL kissed the 70.7% ret of the June low to Sept high. Good level for brief beer stop or might continue to 83.80 next. ES emini broke the 1408.17 symmetry level with minor bounce, 1394 next downside level to watch and then 1384/87
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
12 years ago
Oct 23, 2012 20:11
@zerohedge

There is no money on the sidelines. EMini net longs at highest since 2008. Institutions are already all inhttp://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2012/10/20121016_ES_CoT.png
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
12 years ago
Oct 23, 2012 18:25
was joking...

:(
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
12 years ago
Oct 23, 2012 17:02
ah? u hate them that much?!