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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3054
Forum Topic:

GBP

Discuss GBP
 
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 28, 2011 16:02
pattern on the current dip would see symmetry at 6600 or 127% at 6575 :-(
chloethebull
Canada
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 28, 2011 15:39
the gbp gives up some fast pips as well gonna have a look @ it for a possib short but only if we try to test 16700:)..gl guys but will also look to get long on more of a dip to 1.66-20 level...could be stuk in a range for the next week:)
jacek
Australia
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 28, 2011 15:31
thx Dave, however cable looks like it found support above my entry at 6630:-( Ive been scalping here and there, mainly in euro/yen, but I'm basically staying very balanced across all pairs at this juncture.. and it feels like waiting for Godot (ie. US$)..
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 28, 2011 14:39
@jacek, taking the datum point at 5510 low which I labelled W.2 or B my entry was 5670 and a choppy ride it be from there up. My target was 6540/50 127% ext ret level by which time had already removed 2 units so covered 3rd unit there. Then wait out the ret and re-enter 6580. My stop now sitting at b/e waiting to be trailed as we make new pivots. I think your support entry level is logical. If price return to my entry level I shall get flat and see what happens next. gl.
jacek
Australia
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 28, 2011 12:09
I'm looking at 1.6590-1.6600 fib cluster support for a swing up.. with 50 pips trailer perhaps ..
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Apr 28, 2011 11:47
Hi Dave, I'll go for a ride.. I'm looking to re-enter.. what's your stop?
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Apr 28, 2011 11:01
Still targeting 1.6876 level next for gbpusd, trailing stop in place.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 27, 2011 14:17
Although UK GDP broadly flat over the 6 month period manufacturing growth has been encouraging, very difficult to just turn on the tap again after the Thatcher bulldozers were sent in to crush the power of the unions in early 80's. Her answer to union power was to crush uk manufacturing---a greengrocer mentality one might think, yes her family were greengrocers. "City of London would be our golden egg", said she ---hahaha, spinning money around in circles does nothing whatsoever for mankind. Service industry is largely a parasite.

Once the austerity cuts to the public sector parasite start to kick in and bite I see a period of negative growth lasting about 3 years or more. We shall see the occasional blip on the radar but the path will be downward until the private sector can start to soak up unemployment and spare capacity. The major downside risk is the banks who no longer serve the community so investment in small companies who are the key to any recovery will be almost non existent. In addition there is still the threat of another bank crisis and there is risk of anarchy in opposition to the very necessary planned austerity measures.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Apr 27, 2011 5:43
AB of AshrafLaidi.com Previews GDP

UK first quarter GDP is the highlight of the European session. The consensus is for a 0.5%-0.6% quarterly rise after a 0.6% contraction in Q4 2010. The average miss for the past two years has been 0.5 percentage points. Its unlikely but a second consecutive quarter of negative growth would push the UK back into an official recession. A positive reading is expected because poor weather and a trough in construction were the drivers of the Q4 negative print.

There is also talk of an upward revision to Q4 because official figures often underestimate growth after a recession. Ahead of the release, cable is bounded by the 1.6431 - 1.6533 range but those levels are unlikely to mount significant support/resistance following the release. The slumping dollar also complicates the trade. The impacts will be felt in a clear and sustained way on the EUR/GBP cross. A poor reading (+0.3% or lower) will drive EUR/GBP toward the Oct. high of 0.8940. A breach of that level would open the way to 0.9150 (spot currently at 0.8900).


From AB - AshrafLaidi.com Staff


Ashraf
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Apr 26, 2011 12:18
Yes I bank with HSBC and gave my local manager a freebie lesson a few days ago. Warned him that was the last freebie going forward.